Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000996 0.001129 0.001269 0.001426 0.001599 0.001781 0.001989
2025-03-09 0.000757 0.000937 0.001139 0.001381 0.001661 0.001974 0.002349
2025-03-16 0.000626 0.000823 0.001054 0.001344 0.001691 0.002093 0.002588
2025-03-23 0.000541 0.000751 0.001008 0.001340 0.001753 0.002242 0.002860
2025-03-30 0.000476 0.000695 0.000972 0.001340 0.001810 0.002381 0.003118
2025-04-06 0.000418 0.000640 0.000930 0.001328 0.001847 0.002492 0.003341
2025-04-13 0.000366 0.000587 0.000885 0.001305 0.001866 0.002577 0.003530
2025-04-20 0.000339 0.000565 0.000880 0.001333 0.001950 0.002745 0.003825
2025-04-27 0.000312 0.000542 0.000869 0.001351 0.002020 0.002895 0.004099
2025-05-04 0.000279 0.000505 0.000837 0.001336 0.002044 0.002982 0.004292
2025-05-11 0.000247 0.000467 0.000800 0.001312 0.002051 0.003046 0.004454
2025-05-18 0.000229 0.000450 0.000792 0.001328 0.002114 0.003186 0.004719
2025-05-25 0.000211 0.000431 0.000780 0.001338 0.002169 0.003319 0.004979
2025-06-01 0.000184 0.000394 0.000738 0.001301 0.002155 0.003354 0.005106
2025-06-08 0.000161 0.000361 0.000698 0.001264 0.002138 0.003382 0.005223
2025-06-15 0.000146 0.000342 0.000681 0.001261 0.002171 0.003482 0.005441
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.000325 0.000666 0.001261 0.002207 0.003586 0.005665
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000306 0.000646 0.001249 0.002225 0.003663 0.005852
2025-07-06 0.000107 0.000285 0.000620 0.001227 0.002224 0.003712 0.005999
2025-07-13 0.000102 0.000280 0.000623 0.001254 0.002301 0.003877 0.006316
2025-07-20 0.000095 0.000273 0.000621 0.001271 0.002363 0.004021 0.006604
2025-07-27 0.000086 0.000257 0.000601 0.001257 0.002374 0.004087 0.006780
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000239 0.000577 0.001234 0.002369 0.004128 0.006917